Nível
Geográfico
Colégio
Eleitoral
Prob. de Vitória
(Democratas)
Pesquisas
Eleitorais
Delegados Previsão Histórica
(Desde 1992)
Prob. usada
na previsão
Data da pesquisa
mais recente
Pesquisas
publicadas
Institutos de
pesquisa
Voto popular
(Democratas)
Variação Voto
(últimos 7 dias)
Nacional 538 92.1 57.1 Modelo 2020-06-25 360 51 49.0 -1.9
Estados COM pesquisas
California 55 84.1 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-26 17 8 57.4 0.0
Texas 38 49.8 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-06-23 28 15 45.2 -0.2
Florida 29 64.5 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-06-23 29 16 48.6 1.1
New York 29 76.1 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-21 5 2 56.7 0.0
Pennsylvania 20 63.9 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-06-16 27 15 49.7 0.0
Ohio 18 50.2 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-06-22 10 7 46.0 0.3
Georgia 16 51.9 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-06-23 14 13 47.0 -0.5
Michigan 16 75.9 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-06-20 46 25 52.0 3.4
North Carolina 15 54.3 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-06-23 33 17 46.8 0.3
New Jersey 14 70.6 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-04 6 4 54.3 0.0
Virginia 13 67.2 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-05-16 13 5 50.8 0.0
Washington 12 72.8 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-20 6 4 58.4 0.0
Arizona 11 60.1 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-06-17 25 15 45.5 0.0
Tennessee 11 40.9 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-05-22 3 3 41.9 0.0
Minnesota 10 67.7 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-06-19 3 2 57.9 0.0
Missouri 10 37.9 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-06-11 5 3 43.1 0.0
Wisconsin 10 68.9 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-06-19 44 15 47.9 0.0
Alabama 9 34.2 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-18 3 3 39.0 0.0
Colorado 9 67.9 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-05-11 6 6 53.1 0.0
South Carolina 9 38.5 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-26 4 4 42.0 0.0
Kentucky 8 26.3 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-06-15 4 4 37.0 0.0
Connecticut 7 76.6 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-04 5 2 55.9 0.0
Oklahoma 7 29.8 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-06-04 3 2 36.0 0.0
Iowa 6 48.9 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-06-10 10 5 43.8 0.0
Kansas 6 36.0 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-06-01 3 3 40.0 0.0
Mississippi 6 39.3 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-06-04 3 2 40.6 0.0
Nevada 6 54.9 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-04-30 6 5 48.9 0.0
Utah 6 40.6 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-15 10 2 39.0 0.0
New Mexico 5 66.6 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-06-13 3 2 53.0 0.0
Maine 4 59.4 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-03-03 4 3 52.0 0.0
New Hampshire 4 61.9 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-06-16 11 7 48.9 0.0
Montana 3 44.9 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-04-27 3 2 39.6 0.0
North Dakota 3 32.7 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-03-05 5 2 37.9 0.0
Estados SEM pesquisas
Illinois 20 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Indiana 11 14.3 14.3 Histórica
Massachusetts 11 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Maryland 10 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Louisiana 8 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Oregon 7 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Arkansas 6 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Nebraska 5 0.0 0.0 Histórica
West Virginia 5 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Hawaii 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Idaho 4 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Rhode Island 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Alaska 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica
D.C. 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Delaware 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
South Dakota 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Vermont 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Wyoming 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica