Nível
Geográfico
Colégio
Eleitoral
Prob. de Vitória
(Democratas)
Pesquisas
Eleitorais
Delegados Previsão Histórica
(Desde 1992)
Prob. usada
na previsão
Data da pesquisa
mais recente
Pesquisas
publicadas
Institutos de
pesquisa
Voto popular
(Democratas)
Variação Voto
(últimos 7 dias)
Nacional 538 97.8 57.1 Modelo 2020-09-23 826 62 48.9 -2.0
Estados COM pesquisas
California 55 97.0 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-13 22 11 60.3 0.0
Texas 38 38.2 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-22 47 20 44.8 -3.3
Florida 29 57.9 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-09-22 73 33 48.4 0.6
New York 29 93.6 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-22 7 3 62.9 0.0
Pennsylvania 20 69.2 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-23 91 34 49.6 0.0
Ohio 18 59.4 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-09-23 26 14 48.1 4.0
Georgia 16 45.6 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-21 45 28 45.4 -1.3
Michigan 16 77.8 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-22 94 35 50.4 0.8
North Carolina 15 54.6 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 84 33 46.8 -1.0
New Jersey 14 86.9 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 9 6 57.7 0.0
Virginia 13 69.8 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-09-21 17 6 48.5 -1.9
Washington 12 87.8 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-14 7 4 58.1 0.0
Arizona 11 66.1 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 68 28 48.7 0.4
Indiana 11 24.1 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 4 3 39.0 0.0
Massachusetts 11 92.7 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-27 6 4 68.9 0.0
Tennessee 11 40.2 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-05-22 3 3 41.9 0.0
Minnesota 10 70.5 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 26 14 51.6 0.0
Missouri 10 29.7 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 10 6 45.2 0.0
Wisconsin 10 84.9 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-22 226 31 50.9 0.5
Alabama 9 42.7 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-19 6 6 43.7 0.0
Colorado 9 70.0 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 14 7 49.7 0.0
South Carolina 9 33.4 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 10 8 43.6 -1.4
Kentucky 8 12.6 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-19 12 9 36.8 -0.3
Louisiana 8 42.1 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-05 3 3 41.9 0.0
Connecticut 7 78.2 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-24 6 3 52.1 0.0
Oklahoma 7 7.3 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 6 4 33.1 -1.0
Iowa 6 47.6 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-09-22 26 12 45.3 -2.1
Kansas 6 37.1 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-19 7 5 43.5 0.1
Mississippi 6 29.8 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-30 5 4 40.1 0.0
Nevada 6 74.1 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-09-23 9 6 50.8 3.6
Utah 6 16.0 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-12 11 2 35.4 0.0
New Mexico 5 78.2 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-02 4 3 54.0 0.0
Maine 4 80.2 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 16 9 51.8 -3.0
New Hampshire 4 61.4 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-11 14 7 45.7 0.0
Alaska 3 41.2 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-07-24 4 3 44.6 0.0
Montana 3 30.6 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-16 12 9 42.1 0.0
North Dakota 3 33.5 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-03-05 5 2 37.9 0.0
Estados SEM pesquisas
Illinois 20 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Maryland 10 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Oregon 7 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Arkansas 6 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Nebraska 5 0.0 0.0 Histórica
West Virginia 5 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Hawaii 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Idaho 4 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Rhode Island 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
D.C. 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Delaware 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
South Dakota 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Vermont 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Wyoming 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica